This is Part Two of the Monkey Fighting Robots’ Oscar Predictions for the 90th Academy Awards: Best Original and Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, and Animated feature film. Make sure to check back after the Oscars to see if you beat Jenkins, our expert prediction system!
Best Original Screenplay: Get Out
Unlikely: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
This should not come as a surprise to anyone. It’s one of the most celebrated films of the year, particularly for its unique and genre-establishing story. The Critic’s Choice and WGA awards were just cherries on top; this is Get Out‘s award to lose.
Best Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
This has to the be one of the easiest awards to predict for this Oscar season. While its competition is nothing to shake a stick at, Call Me by Your Name is the only Oscar powerhouse name in the bunch.
More importantly, though, it has taken every insider and outsider award that matters. Expect this to be Call Me by Your Name‘s one win on Sunday.
Best Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049
Unlikely: The Shape of Water
Very unlikely: Dunkirk
Was there a more visually striking movie in 2017 than Blade Runner 2049? Or, put another way: was there any cinematographer as celebrated-yet-awardless as Roger Deakins behind the camera?
Deakins has been nominated for Best Cinematography fourteen times in his career, for movies like The Shawshank Redemption, Fargo, A Beautiful Mind, Skyfall, and Sicario. Yet he has never won.
If the Academy likes to do anything, its award a body of work. Frankly, few deserve that more than Deakins. But in case that did not convince you, he’s also won every insider award, and most of the outsiders, that matter.
Best Editing: Dunkirk
Impossible maybe: Baby Driver
This is, without a doubt, the strangest category to predict this year.
Baby Driver is the predicted choice. It makes sense; only one film has ever won the BAFTA and the Critics’ Choice – Mad Max: Fury Road. It went on to win the Oscar. So, Baby Driver seems like the sure bet.
Except, Baby Driver wasn’t alone in winning the Critics’ Choice award; Dunkirk shared that prize. And it also won an Eddie (the award given by the editor’s guild). Only one film has ever won the Critics’ Choice and an Eddie Drama – Mad Max: Fury Road.
You can see why this is infuriating.
In the end, it comes down to nominations. Every film that has won the Oscar in the past ten years was nominated for an Eddie Drama, and Baby Driver was not.
Despite its statistical shortfall, Dunkirk will take the stage.
Best Animated Feature: Coco
No animated film wins an Oscar if it was not already nominated for an Annie, the award given by the International Animated Film Association.
This means that Loving Vincent, Ferdinand, and The Breadwinner are all out.
This leaves The Boss Baby and Coco.
All give you a minute to stop laughing – yes, obviously Coco will win. It has taken every single award that matters, it as a critically beloved movie, and its competition is, once again, The Boss Baby.
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Want to see more predictions? Check out the Big Six predictions here!
What are your thoughts on the 90th Academy Awards? Comment below.
